Alright, so if none of them are obvious yes or obvious no, then 5% cashback is pretty close to the line there.
So what I gather from those answers is that;
- You don’t believe that a 5 high hex middle is better than 95%, I agree. Especially with a base assessment of 87% overall RTP as the setting, for an 89er it might be close. So the next step is…if not 5%, what if we doubled that to 10%? Do we think a 5 high center is >90% return?
- You don’t believe a (naked) Regal Gold at 98 is better than 95%. I think it’s close, ultimately the status of green would determine my choice here. Nonetheless, if 5% isn’t quite enough for it…where do we think that line is? I think getting 10% would be a clear go…what about in between at 7.5%? This part is what I think is most interesting about the exercise, it’s almost like very rudimentary sports handicapping where the true odds are unknown. “Would you bet Texas at -6? okay -6.5? -7? Okay what about Arkansas? +8? +7.5? +7?” (not endorsing anybody attack a major market that way btw, just an exampe)
- We’re in agreement here, I think that’s about right. Which would tell us that much more than 5% would make 16 a go, but 5% or less is not a go with 16.
- I agree with regards to the Grand, it moves too slow and doesn’t come anywhere near the value of the Mega, I’d probably still be a no on 235. The Mega I’m not so sure though, I think part of the beauty of the Mega, and also with top progressives on games like Coyote Moon Deluxe, is that you probably will be collecting on the portion of the return that’s in the other bonuses as well as the one you’re chasing, whereas you’re unlikely to collect on a Mega while playing for a Minor. Of course, status of the Grand and Major matter here, but even if it was naked, I’d be tempted to take 310, though I wouldn’t be thrilled to with 5% cashback.
- I agree with this take, but I might be willing to go lower. That’s more to do with a different evaluation of what I use as an entry point in the first place though. Certainly I think we’re getting close to the right number with 22 at 5%.
If anybody else would like to chime in, I think the more opinions the better, we could even do hypotheticals with different games. This also gives us an idea of which entry points are close to break-even and could stand to be tightened vs. what’s a slam-dunk edge that could possibly be loosened.
I also want to throw this out there to anyone reading- Of course these examples are just hypotheticals, but I wouldn’t be bringing it up if I hadn’t encountered some ludicrous cashback/multiplier/point accrual rates on these types of games before…and played some nauseating numbers as a result.
Nickels
